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09 Feb 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.6%
Wehen
27.6%
Draw
47.8%
Nurnberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Wehen

vs
1.57

Nurnberg

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).