Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Dortmund
21.8%
Draw
19.9%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Dortmund
vs
1.20
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).