Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.9%
Draw
27.5%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
1.55
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS70.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
3-0
4.1%
2-3
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).