Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Hull
28.0%
Draw
39.7%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Hull
vs
1.18
Man United
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).