Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Osasuna
26.4%
Draw
20.9%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Osasuna
vs
0.88
Valencia
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).