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05 Mar 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.9%
Braunschweig
27.5%
Draw
45.6%
Bielefeld

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Braunschweig

vs
1.56

Bielefeld

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).