Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.1%
Pisa
25.6%
Draw
17.4%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Pisa
vs
0.87
Livorno
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).