Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Eastleigh
29.0%
Draw
34.8%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Eastleigh
vs
1.25
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).