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DHT: 11

24 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.3%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
25.4%
Draw
63.3%
Union Berlin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.51

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
1.57

Union Berlin

Markets

BTTS31.8%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.3%
0-2
15.5%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
10.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
4.1%
0-4
3.2%
2-1
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
1-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).