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AHT: 01CSV

29 Aug 2023 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
Reggiana
26.6%
Draw
55.1%
Palermo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Reggiana

vs
1.66

Palermo

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).