Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Samsunspor
36.0%
Draw
25.4%
Konyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Samsunspor
vs
0.94
Konyaspor
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.6%
0-0
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).