Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Milton Keynes Dons
18.8%
Draw
12.8%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.74
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).