Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Benevento
32.7%
Draw
37.3%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Benevento
vs
1.11
Modena
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.9%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).