Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.6%
Wrexham
14.2%
Draw
10.2%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Wrexham
vs
0.88
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
1-1
6.5%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
5-0
3.3%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).