Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Salernitana
33.4%
Draw
29.0%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Salernitana
vs
0.92
Crotone
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).