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AHT: 01

01 Mar 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.4%
Chornomorets
34.5%
Draw
32.1%
Livyi Bereh

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Chornomorets

vs
0.85

Livyi Bereh

Markets

BTTS33.8%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.551.9%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.2%
1-0
15.2%
0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
2.0%
0-3
1.8%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).