Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Plymouth
28.6%
Draw
38.3%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Plymouth
vs
1.34
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).