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21 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.5%
Stenhousemuir
28.7%
Draw
28.9%
Queen of Sth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Stenhousemuir

vs
1.08

Queen of Sth

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).