Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Le Havre
26.4%
Draw
20.7%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Le Havre
vs
0.71
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).