Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Bradford
27.1%
Draw
24.0%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Bradford
vs
0.84
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).