Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Le Mans
28.6%
Draw
31.9%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Le Mans
vs
0.93
Troyes
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-1
13.7%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).