Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Sassuolo
24.2%
Draw
22.2%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Sassuolo
vs
1.18
Pisa
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).