Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
Baltika Kaliningrad
28.7%
Draw
4.1%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.18
Dynamo Makhachkala
Markets
BTTS12.6%
Over 0.577.4%
Over 1.545.4%
Over 2.519.5%
Over 3.56.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
28.8%
0-0
22.6%
2-0
19.7%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-1
3.5%
0-1
3.3%
4-0
3.0%
3-1
1.6%
5-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).