Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.8%
Luton
18.1%
Draw
17.1%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
Luton
vs
1.46
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS72.9%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.593.4%
Over 2.579.8%
Over 3.561.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
5.5%
4-1
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
4-2
3.9%
4-0
3.6%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).