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AHT: 10

01 Dec 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.2%
Kettering Town
8.6%
Draw
7.2%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

4.24

Kettering Town

vs
1.41

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS74.4%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.6%
Over 2.592.0%
Over 3.581.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-1
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
5-1
5.7%
4-0
4.8%
4-2
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
4.5%
5-0
4.0%
5-2
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).