Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Osasuna
21.4%
Draw
59.1%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Osasuna
vs
2.08
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).