Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.5%
Bristol Rvs
17.2%
Draw
73.2%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Bristol Rvs
vs
2.03
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-2
15.7%
0-3
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
5.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-0
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
2-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).