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15 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.0%
Leyton Orient
14.8%
Draw
6.2%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

2.25

Leyton Orient

vs
0.45

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS32.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
17.0%
1-0
15.4%
3-0
12.8%
2-1
7.6%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
3.3%
5-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).