Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Leicester
24.9%
Draw
49.8%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Leicester
vs
1.78
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).