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AHT: 01CSV

16 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.3%
Rotherham
23.9%
Draw
60.8%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Rotherham

vs
1.82

Norwich

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.4%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).