Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Peterboro
22.8%
Draw
33.1%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Peterboro
vs
1.32
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).