Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Le Havre
20.7%
Draw
23.8%
Gorleston
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Le Havre
vs
1.28
Gorleston
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).