Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Farense
30.8%
Draw
46.3%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Farense
vs
1.26
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
13.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).