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AHT: 33CSV

05 May 2023 · 19:45

Dundee

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.7%
Queens Park
23.5%
Draw
58.8%
Dundee

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Queens Park

vs
2.10

Dundee

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
3.8%
1-4
3.6%
0-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).