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21 Oct 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.4%
Radomiak Radom
18.2%
Draw
13.3%
Puszcza Niepołomice

Expected Goals (xG)

2.52

Radomiak Radom

vs
1.06

Puszcza Niepołomice

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
5.0%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
0-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).