Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Middlesbrough
21.8%
Draw
12.3%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Middlesbrough
vs
0.75
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).