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AHT: 03CSV

02 Apr 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.5%
Blackpool
25.1%
Draw
59.4%
Nott'm Forest

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Blackpool

vs
1.75

Nott'm Forest

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).