Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.1%
RB Leipzig
17.4%
Draw
10.5%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
RB Leipzig
vs
0.87
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.0%
1-0
8.2%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).