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AHT: 10CSV

01 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Elgin

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.9%
Brechin
21.8%
Draw
66.3%
Elgin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Brechin

vs
2.22

Elgin

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
8.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
1-4
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).