Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Nimes
17.0%
Draw
65.9%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Nimes
vs
2.49
Marseille
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
0-3
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-3
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).