Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Southampton
20.7%
Draw
17.4%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Southampton
vs
1.15
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).