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17 Oct 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.1%
Andorra
28.0%
Draw
37.8%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Andorra

vs
1.19

Granada

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).