Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Santa Clara
23.4%
Draw
64.9%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Santa Clara
vs
1.59
Benfica
Markets
BTTS30.7%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.2%
0-2
15.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
0-4
3.3%
2-1
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).