Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Puszcza Niepołomice
24.3%
Draw
37.6%
Stal Mielec
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Puszcza Niepołomice
vs
1.69
Stal Mielec
Markets
BTTS67.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).