Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Mansfield
23.7%
Draw
32.1%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Mansfield
vs
1.20
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.2%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).