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25 Jan 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.8%
Dover Athletic
23.0%
Draw
49.2%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Dover Athletic

vs
2.02

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS68.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
5.3%
2-3
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).