Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.9%
Sp Lisbon
18.5%
Draw
10.6%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.61
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
4-1
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).