Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Spal
26.5%
Draw
35.5%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Spal
vs
1.23
Torino
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).