Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Karlsruhe
27.1%
Draw
33.6%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Karlsruhe
vs
1.37
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).