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03 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.7%
Sint-Truiden
23.8%
Draw
26.5%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Sint-Truiden

vs
1.28

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).